{"id":15670,"date":"2024-09-13T13:00:31","date_gmt":"2024-09-13T13:00:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/TheNextWeb=1410237"},"modified":"2024-09-13T13:00:31","modified_gmt":"2024-09-13T13:00:31","slug":"is-ai-killing-fantasy-football-to-find-out-i-let-it-manage-my-team","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/?p=15670","title":{"rendered":"Is AI killing fantasy football? To find out, I let it manage my team"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><span>Every week, millions of adults pretend that they\u2019re football managers. I am one of them. We live out our dreams in the Fantasy Premier League (FPL), an online game that\u2019s become a global phenomenon.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p>With a budget of 100 million (digital) pounds, we build virtual squads of footballers. If their real-life counterparts play well, we win points. By the end of the season, the team with the most points wins. But <em>what<\/em> exactly do they win? Well, that depends who you ask.<\/p>\n<p><span>Here\u2019s the official answer: over 10 million players compete&nbsp;for the grand prize of \u2014 drum roll, please \u2014&nbsp; two tickets to a football match. Yet most of us fight for a far greater honour: bragging rights.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Win your mini league of friends and bask in the glory of your exalted social status. Finish last and face eternal shame for your pathetic football knowledge. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The stakes are high. So high, in fact, that some players now employ controversial advisors: data analytics.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"inarticle-wrapper channel-cta\">\n<div class=\"ica-text\" readability=\"0\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thenextweb.com\/conference\/tickets?utm_source=google&amp;utm_medium=display&amp;utm_campaign=global_tnw_media_event-registration_retargeting_launch_2025-tnw-conference-amsterdam_TNW\" data-event-category=\"Article\" data-event-action=\"In Article Block\" data-event-label=\"TNW Conference 2025 - Back to NDSM on June 19-20, 2025 - Save the date!\" target=\"_blank\" readability=\"7\" rel=\"noopener\"><\/p>\n<p class=\"ica-text__title\">TNW Conference 2025 &#8211; Back to NDSM on June 19-20, 2025 &#8211; Save the date!<\/p>\n<p>As we wrapped up our incredible 2024 edition, we&#8217;re pleased to announce our return to Amsterdam NDSM in 2025. Registration now!<\/p>\n<p><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><span>These means I can no longer trust my rivals. Are they even making their decisions? Who\u2019s the real winner when the teams are guided by AI? What happens to a game that\u2019s managed by machines?&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Regrettably, I now must ask these questions of myself. <\/span><\/p>\n<h2>A new era for fantasy football?<\/h2>\n<p><span>After several seasons of mixed results in FPL, I began searching for analytical <span>support.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Thankfully, I soon found my saviours. There was Mohamed, aka Ragabolly, an Egyptian based in the US, whose <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/LiveFPLnet\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span>performance simulators<\/span><\/a><span> are the stuff of legend. There was <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BenCrellin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span>Ben Crellin<\/span><\/a><span>, a Brit who builds spreadsheets to navigate the season. There were even entire companies dedicated to FPL analytics.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The biggest of them all is <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span>Fantasy Football Hub<\/span><\/a><span>, a startup based in the UK. After launching with a blog focus in 2019, Fantasy Football Hub began experimenting with point projections.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cIt quickly became quite apparent that this was hugely popular,\u201d says Will Thomas, the company\u2019s CEO and founder. \u201cWe doubled down on it.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"post-image post-mediaBleed aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1410255 js-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn0.tnwcdn.com\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/1\/files\/2024\/09\/Fantasy-Football-Hub-Investor-Deck-2023_Page_04.jpg\" alt=\"Investor deck from Fantasy Football Hub\" width=\"1640\" height=\"923\"><figcaption>FPL\u2019s immense user base is creating big business opportunities. Credit: Fantasy Football Hub<\/figcaption><noscript><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1410255\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn0.tnwcdn.com\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/1\/files\/2024\/09\/Fantasy-Football-Hub-Investor-Deck-2023_Page_04.jpg\" alt=\"Investor deck from Fantasy Football Hub\" width=\"1640\" height=\"923\"><\/noscript><\/figure>\n<p><span>Using a mind for stats developed during psychology research, Thomas built a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/topics\/computer-science\/multilevel-model\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span>longitudinal multilevel regression model<\/span><\/a><span> for the platform.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The model scours <a href=\"https:\/\/thenextweb.com\/topic\/data\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">data<\/a> from football analytics kingpin <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.statsperform.com\/opta-analytics\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span>Opta<\/span><\/a><span>. It then predicts every possible permutation of points: goals, assists, clean sheets, minutes played, you name it. All the information is pooled into predicted points and transfer recommendations.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The tips have proven popular. About 40,000 paying subscribers and 200,000 registered users are now members of the Hub. Annual recurring revenues have surpassed \u00a32.5mn.&nbsp;<\/span><span>Micah Richards, a TV pundit who won a <em>real<\/em> Premier League title with Manchester City, has joined as a partner. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>But that\u2019s not what impresses me. <\/span><span>The Hub earns <\/span><i><span>my<\/span><\/i><span> respect by making a noble offer: win your FPL mini-league or get your money back.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>A deal like that is too hard to ignore. <\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Following the model<\/h2>\n<p><span>I signed up to the service and explore the analytics. I copied the model\u2019s top team to start the season. Discussions with my friends were no longer needed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>But then the <span>plan began<\/span>&nbsp;give me pause. Something just didn\u2019t feel right about AI\u2019s attempts to beat my friends. Suddenly, it hit me: the tool has endorsed players from the loathsome Tottenham Hotspur, the arch enemies of my beloved Arsenal FC.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Then I recall a tip from Thomas: don\u2019t just blindly follow the model. Instead, use the analysis as \u201ca sense check.\u201d&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>With my good sense reactivated, I replace the wretched beasts from Spurs. AI will no longer be my boss, but merely my employee.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Still, the model lacks a certain human touch. I miss speaking to my pals about FPL \u2014 until I find a superior alternative: an <a href=\"https:\/\/thenextweb.com\/topic\/artificial-intelligence\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">AI<\/a> that <\/span><i><span>acts<\/span><\/i><span> like a friend.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"post-image post-mediaBleed aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1410252 size-full js-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn0.tnwcdn.com\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/1\/files\/2024\/09\/Screenshot-2024-08-30-at-17.08.46-e1726229232750.png\" alt=\"An AI-generated team from Fantasy Football Hub\" width=\"1192\" height=\"1203\"><figcaption>Hub\u2019s model project points for different gameweeks. Credit: Fantasy Football Hub<\/figcaption><noscript><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1410252 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn0.tnwcdn.com\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/1\/files\/2024\/09\/Screenshot-2024-08-30-at-17.08.46-e1726229232750.png\" alt=\"An AI-generated team from Fantasy Football Hub\" width=\"1192\" height=\"1203\"><\/noscript><\/figure>\n<h2>A little more conversation<\/h2>\n<p><span>As the FPL summer break drew to a close, a new model caught my eye. Built by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fantasyfootballfix.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Fantasy Football Fix<\/a>, the tool follows the conversational trend set by ChatGPT.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Fix bills the app as \u201cthe world\u2019s first AI chat assistant dedicated to FPL.\u201d The company has named the bot \u2014&nbsp;can you guess? \u2014 ChatFPL.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ask a question and ChatFPL will answer with substantiating evidence. Request information and the bot will reply with digestible data.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The depth of detail is impressive. I compare multiple players across their expected goals, minutes, and future prices. My transfers are optimised for budgets and opponents on specific gameweeks.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Unlike my pals, the bot provides exactly what I want. It\u2019s also a fairly fluid conversationalist. With each response, ChatFPL invites follow-up questions. Our dialogue then moves in new directions. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Tom Brown, Fix\u2019s head of marketing, compares the app to an \u201cinformed friend\u201d with whom you \u201cbounce ideas.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Like his competitors at Hub, Brown defies claims that the AI replaces human decision-making. \u201cWe give recommendations \u2014 it shouldn\u2019t be just an answer,\u201d he says.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The interaction does enrich my experience. It gives ChatFPL a semblance of humanity.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Under the hood, however, the system is fully computational.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Working as a team<\/h2>\n<p><span>ChatFPL\u2019s artificial brain is an evolving roster of LLMs. The Pro version currently runs on Anthrophic\u2019s Claude 3.5 Sonnet, while the Lite model uses OpenAI\u2019s GPT-4o-mini. When new LLMs emerge, the team QA tests them and then considers integration.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cWe\u2019re hooked into all of the main models,\u201d says Adam Moss, Fix\u2019s technical director. \u201cBut the key part is that the model acts as an interpreter to the user\u2019s question. It then determines what additional information needs to be injected into the prompt.\u201d&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The system also continuously updates the data through various <span>APIs<\/span>. In my experience, however, ChatFPL still sometimes needs a push into the present day.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>At one point, the bot suggests buying Dominic Solanke from Bournemouth. A solid choice, but there\u2019s a big problem: Bournemouth had just sold the striker to the odious Tottenham Hotspur.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>After an indignant reminder, the bot swiftly delivers updated suggestions. Sensibly, they arrive with a profuse apology. I forgive the transgression to focus on what really matters: winning my mini league.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"post-image post-mediaBleed aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1410250 js-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn0.tnwcdn.com\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/1\/files\/2024\/09\/Fix-week-1.png\" alt=\"Advice from ChatFPL team on the best fantasy football team\" width=\"1460\" height=\"822\"><figcaption>ChatFPL gave solid advice, but that Nkunku pick was best avoided. Credit: Fantasy Football Fix<\/figcaption><noscript><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1410250\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn0.tnwcdn.com\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/1\/files\/2024\/09\/Fix-week-1.png\" alt=\"Advice from ChatFPL team on the best fantasy football team\" width=\"1460\" height=\"822\"><\/noscript><\/figure>\n<h2>Building an FPL champion<\/h2>\n<p><span>My strategy is decided. I shall blend the analytics with my own ideas.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>I scour the AI-generated teams projected to maximise my points. I ask ChatFPL\u2019s advice on my own amendments. I feed the updated squad to the Hub\u2019s AI transfer recommender. I pick my final squad. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>I have become an FPL cyborg: a nerdy football fan merged with analytics. I wait with baited breath for the results.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The fusion decision soon pays off. After the first round of fixtures, I\u2019m top of my mini-league. But the decisions are becoming harder.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>As the new season progresses, the challenges grow. No longer do I merely have to buy 11 players for my squad. I now also have to contend with injuries, form fluctuations, and a tight budget.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>For Brown, that\u2019s when the app truly proves its worth. \u201cYou can go on a group chat with your mates and ask them but they\u2019re in different places, so they can\u2019t really give you advice,\u201d he says. \u201cChatFPL will be an informed source to talk to about your situation.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>It\u2019s a fair point: my friends are now my rivals. They can no longer be trusted. Even if they could, their advice would be questionable at best. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>I try to instead build a relationship with my tools. I seek their advice, ask them questions, listen to their views. The final decisions, however, are mine alone. My bots are closer to assistant coaches than dictatorial managers.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Fix endorses my approach. \u201cAI does seem to be sucking the fun out of FPL for certain people,\u201d says Brown. \u201cBefore, it was open for interpretation \u2014 there wasn\u2019t a right and wrong way to play. We want to go back to that.\u201d&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>At times, the models can even expand the constraints of our consciences. Paradoxically, the AI will often think outside the box.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"post-image post-mediaBleed aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1410268 js-lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn0.tnwcdn.com\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/1\/files\/2024\/09\/Screenshot-2024-09-13-at-13.20.26.png\" alt=\"My fantasy football team\" width=\"1144\" height=\"944\"><figcaption>My gorgeous fantasy football team as it lines up today.<\/figcaption><noscript><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1410268\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn0.tnwcdn.com\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/1\/files\/2024\/09\/Screenshot-2024-09-13-at-13.20.26.png\" alt=\"My fantasy football team\" width=\"1144\" height=\"944\"><\/noscript><\/figure>\n<h2>The human element<\/h2>\n<p><span>FPL players increasingly follow the same \u201ctemplates\u201d shared online by dubious experts.&nbsp;They drain our individuality and creativity.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>AI provides an escape from their restraints. Groupthink, confirmation biases, contrast effects, and all our other prejudices are cast aside in the quest for points.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>There\u2019s a parallel here to a broader divide in AI. On one side are the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thenextweb.com\/news\/how-to-manage-ai-bias-alejandro-saucedo-interview\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>algorithmic biases<\/span><\/a><span> that misidentify people, reinforce stereotypes, and amplify discrimination. On the other side are the systems that expand our horizons.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>A shining example of the latter is DeepMind\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thenextweb.com\/news\/how-rewards-work-in-reinforcement-learning-deepmind\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>AlphaGo<\/span><\/a><span>. The model developed radical strategies for a fiendishly complex board game, stunning world champions with unorthodox moves. AI can do the same for FPL.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cIt brings a different element to it, which takes our inherent psychological biases out of the equation,\u201d says Thomas of Fantasy Football Hub.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>One memorable example for Thomas was vouching for Jean-Philippe Mateta.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>At the time, the Crystal Palace striker was an unfashionable choice. Neither he nor his team were in form. But his underlying data was promising. He would also soon benefit from two top creative players rejoining his team. Most importantly, he cost a fraction of the league\u2019s established strikers.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The model astutely identified a bargain. Mateta promptly embarked on a lengthy scoring streak that propelled Palace up the table.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2>AI vs the eye test<\/h2>\n<p><span>The Mateta pick was reminiscent of \u201cMoneyball,\u201d an <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Sabermetrics\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">analytics approach<\/a>&nbsp;that\u2019s legendary in real sports. Struggling sides have deployed the techniques to unearth diamonds in the rough. Human experts will often overlook these players. Yet data shows they\u2019re undervalued, abnormally skilled, or just need a helping hand.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Such oversights are common in fantasy football. \u201cA lot of FPL players use the eye test,\u201d Thomas says. \u201cBut the AI doesn\u2019t care about that.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Over time, the models will also add new personal touches. Fix plans to customise advice around our strategic styles, risk appetites, and football preferences. Before long, AI could tailor the tips for winning my mini-league. I could ban&nbsp;the mere mention of Spurs.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>I could also build a richer relationship with my AI partner. \u201cWe\u2019re exploring being able to talk to it verbally,\u201d says Brown. A comfort, perhaps, for the lonely. But one that won\u2019t dispel the fears about AI replacing human roles in FPL. Not just strategically, but also socially.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Still, that\u2019s of little concern to me. I\u2019m leading my mini-league and no-one knows about my AI assistant. Please don\u2019t tell them my secret \u2014 I have a reputation to automate.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <a href=\"https:\/\/thenextweb.com\/news\/ai-is-killing-fantasy-football-fpl\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Every week, millions of adults pretend that they\u2019re football managers. I am one of them. We live out our dreams in the Fantasy Premier League (FPL), an online game that\u2019s become a&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15671,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15670"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15670"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15670\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/15671"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15670"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15670"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15670"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}