{"id":9109,"date":"2021-11-24T13:18:20","date_gmt":"2021-11-24T13:18:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/TheNextWeb=1373974"},"modified":"2021-11-24T13:18:20","modified_gmt":"2021-11-24T13:18:20","slug":"think-predictive-text-makes-you-faster-youre-a-fool","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/?p=9109","title":{"rendered":"Think predictive text makes you faster? You\u2019re a fool"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Typing is one of the most common things we do on our mobile phones. A recent survey suggests that Millennials spend <a href=\"https:\/\/www.provisionliving.com\/blog\/smartphone-screen-time-baby-boomers-and-millennials\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">48 minutes<\/a> each day texting, while boomers spend 30 minutes.<\/p>\n<p>Since the advent of mobile phones, the way we text has changed. We\u2019ve seen the introduction of autocorrect, which corrects errors as we type, and word prediction (often called predictive text), which predicts the next word we want to type and allows us to select it above the keyboard.<\/p>\n<p>Functions such as autocorrect and predictive text are designed to make typing faster and more efficient. But research shows this isn\u2019t necessarily true of predictive text.<\/p>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/dl.acm.org\/doi\/10.1145\/2858036.2858305\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">study<\/a> published in 2016 found predictive text wasn\u2019t associated with any overall improvement in typing speed. But this study only had 17 participants \u2013 and all used the same type of mobile device.<\/p>\n<p>In 2019, my colleagues and I published <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1145\/3338286.3340120\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">a study<\/a> in which we looked at mobile typing data from more than 37,000 volunteers, all using their own mobile phones. Participants were asked to copy sentences as quickly and accurately as possible.<\/p>\n<p>Participants who used predictive text typed an average of 33 words per minute. This was slower than those who didn\u2019t use an intelligent text entry method (35 words per minute) and significantly slower than participants who used autocorrect (43 words per minute).<\/p>\n<h2>Breaking it down<\/h2>\n<p>It\u2019s interesting to consider the poor correlation between predictive text and typing performance. The idea seems to make sense: if the system can predict your intended word before you type it, this should save you time.<\/p>\n<p>In my most <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1145\/3411764.3445566\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">recent study<\/a> on this topic, a colleague and I explored the conditions that determine whether predictive text is effective. We combined some of these conditions, or parameters, to simulate a large number of different scenarios and therefore determine when predictive text is effective \u2013 and when it\u2019s not.<\/p>\n<p>We built a couple of fundamental parameters associated with predictive text performance into our simulation. The first is the average time it takes a user to hit a key on the keyboard (essentially a measure of their typing speed). We estimated this at 0.26 seconds, based on <a href=\"https:\/\/dl.acm.org\/doi\/10.1145\/2470654.2466180\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">earlier research<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The second fundamental parameter is the average time it takes a user to look at a predictive text suggestion and select it. We fixed this at 0.45 seconds, again based on <a href=\"https:\/\/dl.acm.org\/doi\/10.1145\/1240624.1240723\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">existing data<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Beyond these, there\u2019s a set of parameters which are less clear. These reflect the way the user engages with predictive text \u2013 or their strategies if you like. In our research, we looked at how different approaches to two of these strategies influence the usefulness of predictive text.<\/p>\n<p>The first is minimum word length. This means the user will tend to only look at predictions for words beyond a certain length. You might only look at predictions if you\u2019re typing longer words, beyond, say, six letters \u2013 because these words require more effort to spell and type out. The horizontal axis in the visualisation below shows the effect of varying the minimum length of a word before the user seeks a word prediction, from two letters to ten.<\/p>\n<p>The second strategy, \u201ctype-then-look\u201d, governs how many letters the user will type before looking at word predictions. You might only look at the suggestions after typing the first three letters of a word, for example. The intuition here is that the more letters you type, the more likely the prediction will be correct. The vertical axis shows the effect of the user varying the type-then-look strategy from looking at word predictions even before typing (zero) to looking at predictions after one letter, two letters, and so on.<\/p>\n<p>A final latent strategy, perseverance, captures how long the user will type and check word predictions for before giving up and just typing out the word in full. While it would have been insightful to see how variation in perseverance affects the speed of typing with predictive text, even with a computer model, there were limitations to the amount of changeable data points we could include.<\/p>\n<p>So we fixed perseverance at five, meaning if there are no suitable suggestions after the user has typed five letters, they will complete the word without consulting predictive text further. Although we don\u2019t have data on the average perseverance, this seems like a reasonable estimate.<\/p>\n<h2>What did we find?<\/h2>\n<figure class=\"align-center \" readability=\"1.4166666666667\">\n<p><figure class=\"post-image post-mediaBleed aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/433095\/original\/file-20211122-13-lzwd4b.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" sizes=\"(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px\" alt=\"Kristensson and M\u00fcllners, 2021, Author provided\" width=\"600\" height=\"485\" class=\"js-lazy\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/433095\/original\/file-20211122-13-lzwd4b.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=485&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 600w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/433095\/original\/file-20211122-13-lzwd4b.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=485&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1200w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/433095\/original\/file-20211122-13-lzwd4b.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=485&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 1800w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/433095\/original\/file-20211122-13-lzwd4b.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=610&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 754w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/433095\/original\/file-20211122-13-lzwd4b.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=610&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1508w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/433095\/original\/file-20211122-13-lzwd4b.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=610&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 2262w\"><figcaption><a href=\"https:\/\/thenextweb.com\/news\/predictive-text-makes-you-slow-syndication#\" data-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?url=https%3A%2F%2Feditorial.thenextweb.com%2Ftech%2F2021%2F11%2F24%2Fpredictive-text-makes-you-slow-syndication%2F&amp;via=thenextweb&amp;related=thenextweb&amp;text=Check out this picture on: Kristensson and M\u00fcllners, 2021, Author provided\" data-title=\"Share Kristensson and M\u00fcllners, 2021, Author provided on Twitter\" data-width=\"685\" data-height=\"500\" class=\"post-image-share popitup\" title=\"Share Kristensson and M\u00fcllners, 2021, Author provided on Twitter\"><i class=\"icon icon--inline icon--twitter--dark\"><\/i><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/dl.acm.org\/doi\/pdf\/10.1145\/3411764.3445566%5C\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Kristensson and M\u00fcllners, 2021<\/a>, Author provided<span class=\"attribution\"><\/span><span><\/span><\/figcaption><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/433095\/original\/file-20211122-13-lzwd4b.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"Kristensson and M\u00fcllners, 2021, Author provided\" width=\"600\" height=\"485\" class srcset=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/433095\/original\/file-20211122-13-lzwd4b.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=485&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 600w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/433095\/original\/file-20211122-13-lzwd4b.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=485&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1200w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/433095\/original\/file-20211122-13-lzwd4b.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=485&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 1800w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/433095\/original\/file-20211122-13-lzwd4b.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=610&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 754w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/433095\/original\/file-20211122-13-lzwd4b.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=610&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1508w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/433095\/original\/file-20211122-13-lzwd4b.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=610&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 2262w\"><\/noscript><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Above the dashed line there\u2019s an increase in net entry rate while below it, predictive text slows the user down. The deep red shows when predictive text is most effective; an improvement of two words per minute compared to not using predictive text. The blue is when it\u2019s least effective. Under certain conditions in our simulation, predictive text could slow a user down by as much as eight words per minute.<\/p>\n<p>The blue circle shows the optimal operating point, where you get the best results from predictive text. This occurs when word predictions are only sought for words with at least six letters and the user looks at a word prediction after typing three letters.<\/p>\n<p>So, for the average user, predictive text is unlikely to improve performance. And even when it does, it doesn\u2019t seem to save much time. The potential gain of a couple of words per minute is much smaller than the potential time lost.<\/p>\n<p>It would be interesting to study long-term predictive text use and look at users\u2019 strategies to verify that our assumptions from the model hold in practice. But our simulation reinforces the findings of previous human research: predictive text probably isn\u2019t saving you time \u2013 and could be slowing you down.<!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. Please DO NOT REMOVE. --><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/170163\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" alt=\"The Conversation\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" class=\"js-lazy\"><!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: https:\/\/theconversation.com\/republishing-guidelines --><\/p>\n<p><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/170163\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" alt=\"The Conversation\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" class><\/noscript><\/p>\n<p><em>Article by <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/per-ola-kristensson-1282225\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Per Ola Kristensson<\/a>, Professor of Interactive Systems Engineering, <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-cambridge-1283\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">University of Cambridge<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This article is republished from <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/do-you-use-predictive-text-chances-are-its-not-saving-you-time-and-could-even-be-slowing-you-down-170163\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">original article<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p> <a href=\"https:\/\/thenextweb.com\/news\/predictive-text-makes-you-slow-syndication\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Typing is one of the most common things we do on our mobile phones. A recent survey suggests that Millennials spend 48 minutes each day texting, while boomers spend 30 minutes. Since&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9110,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9109"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9109"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9109\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/9110"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9109"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9109"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.londonchiropracter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9109"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}